W. Brian Arthur is a leader in the fields of technology, economics and complexity science. He has served as a Morrison Professor of Economics and Population Studies at Stanford and as the Citibank Professor at the Sante Fe Institute. He currently is in residence at the Palo Alto Research Center (PARC).
In The Nature of Technology, Arthur examines how technologies evolve within the economy. Arthur contends that the economy is an expression of its technologies. This, he points out, runs counter to the perspective of some economists who believe that the economy drives technology. Arthur supports his argument by providing extensive examples of how technologies have evolved over time and have transformed the economy.
Arthur observed that while technology may evolve relatively quickly, its adoption sometimes takes decades. He suggests that this is due to man's inherent relationship with nature. Man seems himself as part of nature and, therefore, he trusts nature. On the other hand, Man places his hopes in technology. He looks to technology to make his life better. He does not, however, trust technology, especially when it seems to be in conflict with nature. Arthur cites the reluctance of some societies to accept genetic engineered crops as an example. Thus, man places his hope in something that he does not entirely trust. This leads to significant dissonance.
Arthur also discusses the process of innovation that is so closely tied to the evolution of technology. He states, "The type of mastery you find in a Maillart bridge does not come out of 'genius.' More than anything it comes out of an accumulation of knowledge and expertise slowly gathered over years." He goes on to say, "experience with different solutions and subsolutions steadily cumulates and technologies change and improve over time. The result is innovation."
I found Arthur's explanation of the reluctance of society to accept some technologies because of their apparent challenge to the natural order to be insightful. He also noted, however, that this does not fully explain why some innovative technologies are resisted. In some cases it is simply because accepted practices become "locked in" due to resistance to change.
I found Arthur's description of innovation as a cumulative process which builds over time to be consistent with other innovation theorists. He notes that this cumulative process leads to a generative and robust economy. It is dependent, however, on the ability to see connections among disparate technologies.
How are we preparing our students to become the generative thinkers required by a generative economy?
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